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  #9256 (permalink)  
Old 08-28-2008, 02:15 PM
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smallcaps49 is an unknown quantity at this point
Cool Been a VEY tough Market, But 5 13 62

worked well again for me!!! My last 12 scalping trades did OK!!!

14139114 00733323 GBP/USD 400 B 1.83558 1.83641 33.2 332.00 0.00 8/27/2008 22:37 8/27/2008 23:21
14138392 00733323 GBP/USD 400 B 1.83503 1.83545 16.8 168.00 0.00 8/27/2008 22:03 8/27/2008 22:08
14136714 00733323 GBP/USD 400 B 1.83264 1.83570 122.4 1,224.00 0.00 8/27/2008 20:51 8/27/2008 21:52
14136552 00733323 GBP/USD 400 B 1.83365 1.83570 82 820.00 0.00 8/27/2008 20:40 8/27/2008 21:52
14136572 00733323 GBP/USD 400 B 1.83366 1.83570 81.6 816.00 0.00 8/27/2008 20:41 8/27/2008 21:52
14130600 00733323 EUR/USD 400 B 1.47323 1.47458 54 540.00 96.00 8/27/2008 16:30 8/27/2008 20:08
14131050 00733323 USD/CHF 400 S 1.09738 1.09584 61.6 562.13 -48.00 8/27/2008 16:51 8/27/2008 20:08
14130598 00733323 USD/CHF 400 S 1.09671 1.09584 34.8 317.56 -48.00 8/27/2008 16:29 8/27/2008 20:08
14130542 00733323 USD/CHF 400 S 1.09646 1.09584 24.8 226.31 -48.00 8/27/2008 16:26 8/27/2008 20:08
14130538 00733323 EUR/USD 400 B 1.47323 1.47458 54 540.00 96.00 8/27/2008 16:26 8/27/2008 20:08
14130564 00733323 EUR/USD 400 B 1.47207 1.47438 92.4 924.00 0.00 8/27/2008 17:12 8/27/2008 20:01
14132421 00733323 USD/CHF 400 B 1.09797 1.09697 -40 -364.64 0.00 8/27/2008 17:36 8/27/2008 19:25
Total 4,800 617.6 6,105.36 48.00

Back to the Charts Again!!!!!!!!!!!

caps out...
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  #9257 (permalink)  
Old 08-28-2008, 02:32 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pf0351 View Post
Good morning folks at the east coast, and hi to everybody else.

I entered an order to go short at 1.4810 and went to bed. The order got executed at 05:10:36 GMT. I wonder why as my chart does not even go that high, anyway, this is my first trade in a long time. I have a stop at break even and hope it will slip down to 1.4738 (50% Fib) or maybe 1.4721 (61.8% Fib, 1.4810-1.4668). Right now the USD is under pressure due to rising crude which is at 119.29 right now.

Good luck everybody...
Out at 1.47281 with a gain of 82 pips
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  #9258 (permalink)  
Old 08-28-2008, 02:44 PM
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Originally Posted by pf0351 View Post
Out at 1.47281 with a gain of 82 pips
I watch bollinger bands, the bounce back up to 1.4750s brings price action back into the range of the bands, expect the price action to be USD bullish for the near term..
However, I will stay flat for right now...
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  #9259 (permalink)  
Old 08-28-2008, 02:57 PM
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Question OUCH!!! Had to Bai out Quick

14153944 00733323 GBP/USD 400 B 1.83243 1.83587 137.6 1,376.00 0.00 8/28/2008 08:33 8/28/2008 08:49
14153765 00733323 EUR/USD 400 B 1.47278 1.47547 107.6 1,076.00 0.00 8/28/2008 08:31 8/28/2008 08:49
14153682 00733323 EUR/USD 400 B 1.47455 1.47547 36.8 368.00 0.00 8/28/2008 08:30 8/28/2008 08:49
14153901 00733323 GBP/USD 400 B 1.83255 1.83587 132.8 1,328.00 0.00 8/28/2008 08:32 8/28/2008 08:49
14153602 00733323 EUR/USD 400 B 1.47680 1.47547 -53.2 -532.00 0.00 8/28/2008 08:28 8/28/2008 08:49
14153435 00733323 EUR/USD 400 B 1.47722 1.47547 -70 -700.00 0.00 8/28/2008 08:22 8/28/2008 08:49
14153550 00733323 EUR/USD 400 B 1.47702 1.47547 -62 -620.00 0.00 8/28/2008 08:26 8/28/2008 08:49

Got worried with the charts...LOL!!!!!! Scalped some, but was VERY Scary for a min or two!!! Now going to watch for a short time frame before jumping back in!!

caps out
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  #9260 (permalink)  
Old 08-28-2008, 03:08 PM
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I don't think the price action would be usd bullish.
We will see new high this week or by the mid next week before we go south again.
By the way haven't heard of Stryker lately since he said he will start trading this week??
GL,
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  #9261 (permalink)  
Old 08-28-2008, 03:15 PM
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Will it follow oil

I'm a weather freak ....

And can tell you guys that unless things change, Gustav is heading straight for the core of the US oil installations in the gulf, also the possibility of it being a Major hurricane are pretty good. Very Warm Waters, no wind shear ....

Will Euro and oil continu there path with similar trends like they did all summer ?

GL to @ll
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  #9262 (permalink)  
Old 08-28-2008, 03:17 PM
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Wink Bailed to early on them last ones!!!

Oh well, looking to go short soon?
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  #9263 (permalink)  
Old 08-28-2008, 03:20 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by smallcaps49 View Post
Oh well, looking to go short soon?
Hey Caps, you're doing great with your scalping. Now I had a few questions posted yesterday (or the day before) and if you have a spare minute, maybe you can take a look at them?

EUR USD in a range, but not for long anymore. 1,4810 will break and we will see 1,4850 and 1,4900.

GL
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  #9264 (permalink)  
Old 08-28-2008, 03:30 PM
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Originally Posted by arodriguez View Post
Hi Guilder,
My outlook on EURGBP is up. yesterday I went long to the top of the range. Today I took a 3 lots short from 8056 to 8034. 8020 is good level to reset longs. 8000 much better. Daily is a bit overbought... perhaps the top is in place for this week... I am not sure the breakout of 8030 level is holding on overbought conditions. what do you think?

best,

A.

I am not a EUR GBP expert, (the same goes for EUR USD...) but when a pair finally breaks out of a triangle it has been in for so long you should not look at overbought/sold. It just goes. Basically EUR GBP is heading for 80.90, and maybe after that 81,90. So far the correction has been shallow, meaning it might push up straight away.
Still I dont wanna buy now. Should have done that at 80.00-20 ....
GL.

EUR USD very volatile take a side and stay put.
Higher U.S. GDP could mean higher oil prices. And there's Gustav ofcourse...
GL.
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  #9265 (permalink)  
Old 08-28-2008, 03:31 PM
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I'm Respecting the UP channel - shorter term

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Originally Posted by dennisc View Post
Directionless for the past few hours... Out 20pips, stopping for now. I'm expecting it to drop further, respecting the down channel.
Hi All,

I'm new to here, and was woken up when my buy hit, having given up around 5 AM EDT while price was in my no man's land. The support, pivot, and resistance was calculate at 00:00 GMT. 1st resistance has held with no hourly close above it until hopefully soon, since I am long with a stop in profit. What a wild ride to be down 28 pips or so and within minutes up 40 or so.


Last edited by Beezap; 08-28-2008 at 11:38 PM.
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  #9266 (permalink)  
Old 08-28-2008, 03:55 PM
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Talking Cable

hey guys i have been watchin this forum few weeks and really like info here, sometimes its very very useful thing, though Im not EW fan, it seems to me that fractals can be helpful in some way to at least determine a bit from these moves and i enjoy all those charts and analysis

currently holdin short position on Cable, in fact im not trading now thru FX broker but by buying warrants but i use fx software for charting and observing. from time to time trading intraday on charts. my opinion on Cable is the same as was mentioned above by one of you guys, sorry dont remember who was it, but i think it can fall further down to 1.77 maybe even 1,75. today its slowly moving in range but in my opinion its caused only by higher oil prices, as soon as Gustav will be over, the down move will resume together with eur/usd down and usd/jpy little up. i cant see cable nor eur going to up today, like it doesnt want tom only what is moving is usd - down, all caused by oil, gold. when it reverses, we can see those 1.44-45 eur and under 1.80 cable. what do you think?

PS: i hope ill be able and try to post more as soon as i get used being on forum with all those FX stars
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  #9267 (permalink)  
Old 08-28-2008, 04:03 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by dennisc View Post
Directionless for the past few hours... Out 20pips, stopping for now. I'm expecting it to drop further, respecting the down channel.

I'm short from 4810, trend channel i mention earlier is still valid.. Don't know abt a break above 4810, seems most of u are expecting a continuation in the main uptrend. Don't use EW much so i duno.

Where's stryker?
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  #9268 (permalink)  
Old 08-28-2008, 04:17 PM
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Another hourly failure to close above 48 level

As per my previous post, I got stopped for a 30 pip profit, which was equal to my original stop loss or 30 pip loss, so I'll take it. Won't get back in where it is now, waiting for a better setup and indication. My resistance line held 9 separate hourly closes, so maybe the downtrend shall resume after all.
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  #9269 (permalink)  
Old 08-28-2008, 04:37 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Guilder View Post
EUR USD in a range, but not for long anymore. 1,4810 will break and we will see 1,4850 and 1,4900.

GL
Ergh, that was wrong. For now.
Maybe a great call by this time tomorrow, but then again: maybe not.
Its still rather volatile, and the candles show the market is looking for direction.
I am not much of an help today. Think I'll go home now and have a nice glass of 15yr old Bowmore.
GL.
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  #9270 (permalink)  
Old 08-28-2008, 05:32 PM
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My rising trendline breached on hourly close

Quote:
Originally Posted by dennisc View Post
I'm short from 4810, trend channel i mention earlier is still valid.. Don't know abt a break above 4810, seems most of u are expecting a continuation in the main uptrend. Don't use EW much so i duno.

Where's stryker?
Having exited my long with a profit, and now seeing my trendline breached on the hourlies (hourly close 1 pip beneath my pivot line, also), I must now succumb to your down channel, and look for a short entry position - hoping to short a rally at some point. Several hours ago, had I been awake, I would have shorted the 48 failure, and been well pleased to do so, but now I wait for entry.
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