Register Now    All Threads    The Rules    About Forum
DailyFX Calendar DailyFX Charts DailyFX News DailyFX Blogs DailyFX Forum
  #1501 (permalink)  
Old 03-05-2007, 11:58 PM
Jac144's Avatar
100 Post Club
 
Join Date: Jul 2004
Posts: 555
Jac144 is on a distinguished road
Careful of todays trading volumes seems exhaustive. the last power gasp before they buy the ---- out of it

Looks like the test harvested no sellers atm
long pounder 9194 sl 68 will dip a toe
__________________
"perception is the measure of evolution"
"chance favors the prepared mind"

Last edited by Jac144; 03-06-2007 at 12:07 AM.
Reply With Quote
  #1502 (permalink)  
Old 03-05-2007, 11:58 PM
100 Post Club
 
Join Date: Mar 2004
Posts: 796
John M
hi...

I think the ideal situation is to get both jpy and gbp running in the same direction if one bounces then it does not mean you wont still have a winning trade it just means the pair thats running in your direction needs to move further..
__________________
regards

John M

Live long and prosper.
Any information in this post is for discussion purposes only.
Reply With Quote
  #1503 (permalink)  
Old 03-06-2007, 12:11 AM
100 Post Club
 
Join Date: Jan 2007
Posts: 427
Andy K is on a distinguished road
Quote:
Originally Posted by Maratha
Dear JohnM,


Let's see how Asia opens today...what is the strategy folks? Add shorts at 50/100 PIP drop or look for some key level like 220 to break?

Maratha

I'm tired from the last 24hrs so will probably set a trailing stop + a TP at 217.80 (just in case) then sleep once trade is profitable. I'm in lighter today than yesterday - did well but don't want to risk it all. If I was going in heavier (and staying up) I would have waited for Asia open.
Reply With Quote
  #1504 (permalink)  
Old 03-06-2007, 12:20 AM
Maratha's Avatar
100 Post Club
 
Join Date: Apr 2005
Posts: 1,387
Maratha is on a distinguished road
Send a message via ICQ to Maratha Send a message via Yahoo to Maratha
Oh, those longs at 221 are absorbing the price action...moved stop to b/e on current shorts...

My gut feel is that if 221 holds through Asian open, then the further downside might be limited and I would exit my current shorts...

Dear Jack,

Given the momentum of current JPY strength, I doubt if any real bounce would happen before 210...but then, this pair has proved me wrong many a times!
__________________
"The market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent" - Keynes
Reply With Quote
  #1505 (permalink)  
Old 03-06-2007, 12:25 AM
100 Post Club
 
Join Date: Aug 2005
Posts: 757
Monk is on a distinguished road
Send a message via AIM to Monk Send a message via Yahoo to Monk
Quote:
Originally Posted by Maratha
Oh, those longs at 221 are absorbing the price action...moved stop to b/e on current shorts...

My gut feel is that if 221 holds through Asian open, then the further downside might be limited and I would exit my current shorts...

Dear Jack,

Given the momentum of current JPY strength, I doubt if any real bounce would happen before 210...but then, this pair has proved me wrong many a times!
same.....stop at b/e for 221.60 short.
thinking of closing the 221.20 at a loss.


WELL ----......couldn't even finish making the post before i got stopped.
closed 221.20
Reply With Quote
  #1506 (permalink)  
Old 03-06-2007, 12:26 AM
Maratha's Avatar
100 Post Club
 
Join Date: Apr 2005
Posts: 1,387
Maratha is on a distinguished road
Send a message via ICQ to Maratha Send a message via Yahoo to Maratha
Same here..stopped at b/e for 4 PIPs profit...well, let's wait for a better opportunity...

The good thing is now, 221 is the level to watch for break lower...have a pending short at 220.80...let's see..
__________________
"The market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent" - Keynes
Reply With Quote
  #1507 (permalink)  
Old 03-06-2007, 12:29 AM
100 Post Club
 
Join Date: Aug 2005
Posts: 757
Monk is on a distinguished road
Send a message via AIM to Monk Send a message via Yahoo to Monk
Quote:
Originally Posted by Maratha
Same here..stopped at b/e for 4 PIPs profit...well, let's wait for a better opportunity...

The good thing is now, 221 is the level to watch for break lower...have a pending short at 220.80...let's see..

yeah.....kept flirting with closing that last short when it was only down a few pips.....

everyone still thinking a 100 pip drop??

good lord.....i make a post.......go back to the charts and look what happened.
Reply With Quote
  #1508 (permalink)  
Old 03-06-2007, 12:35 AM
Jac144's Avatar
100 Post Club
 
Join Date: Jul 2004
Posts: 555
Jac144 is on a distinguished road
Maratha,

yea indeed anything is possible, What are the yearly traders thinking, They are sooo deep in positions now they could see price go to 180 before they have to liquidate at breakeven open position, yet do they see this as a great buying opportunity cheap rates. Seems to have found solid support for at least now. Geppy has already dropped 8.43% consuming the last years trade. Can that be seen as just a liquidation while OI rises as the yealry guy accumulates. Early shorts entering late longs, both are holding. Too hard to tell what the motives are but the carry trade isnt disappearing ovenight.
__________________
"perception is the measure of evolution"
"chance favors the prepared mind"
Reply With Quote
  #1509 (permalink)  
Old 03-06-2007, 12:36 AM
Maratha's Avatar
100 Post Club
 
Join Date: Apr 2005
Posts: 1,387
Maratha is on a distinguished road
Send a message via ICQ to Maratha Send a message via Yahoo to Maratha
Actually, I'm thinking of longing at 221.80...but my 'logical' brain is telling me to wait for Asian open plus one hour...

As of now, this looks more like stop hunting game of 120 PIPs...221.05-222.25...

EDIT: OK, made up my mind of staying out till Asia shows the direction... Sitting pretty till then...Jac, yes, it's difficult to see the direction in the choppy price action...
__________________
"The market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent" - Keynes

Last edited by Maratha; 03-06-2007 at 12:39 AM.
Reply With Quote
  #1510 (permalink)  
Old 03-06-2007, 12:38 AM
100 Post Club
 
Join Date: Jan 2007
Posts: 427
Andy K is on a distinguished road
Just added another short at 222 - thats all I'm doing tonight. I'll run with these and see how I go
Reply With Quote
  #1511 (permalink)  
Old 03-06-2007, 12:42 AM
Jac144's Avatar
100 Post Club
 
Join Date: Jul 2004
Posts: 555
Jac144 is on a distinguished road
maybe we are just sketching out the yearly range, wouldnt taht be saweeeet
__________________
"perception is the measure of evolution"
"chance favors the prepared mind"
Reply With Quote
  #1512 (permalink)  
Old 03-06-2007, 12:44 AM
100 Post Club
 
Join Date: Aug 2005
Posts: 757
Monk is on a distinguished road
Send a message via AIM to Monk Send a message via Yahoo to Monk
Quote:
Originally Posted by Andy K
Just added another short at 222 - thats all I'm doing tonight. I'll run with these and see how I go
that 222 must be feeling better about now.

i'm flat and have no idea what to do. I've made and lost the same 200 pips like 6 times now.
Reply With Quote
  #1513 (permalink)  
Old 03-06-2007, 12:47 AM
Jac144's Avatar
100 Post Club
 
Join Date: Jul 2004
Posts: 555
Jac144 is on a distinguished road
Quote:
Originally Posted by Monk
that 222 must be feeling better about now.

i'm flat and have no idea what to do. I've made and lost the same 200 pips like 6 times now.

a great quote by prolly the 1 of the best traders ever " I never made any money trading, i made my money sitting tight" Jesse Livermore
__________________
"perception is the measure of evolution"
"chance favors the prepared mind"
Reply With Quote
  #1514 (permalink)  
Old 03-06-2007, 12:52 AM
100 Post Club
 
Join Date: Aug 2005
Posts: 757
Monk is on a distinguished road
Send a message via AIM to Monk Send a message via Yahoo to Monk
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jac144
a great quote by prolly the 1 of the best traders ever " I never made any money trading, i made my money sitting tight" Jesse Livermore

HA!!!!!!

i've been looking for a good signature line......i think thats one i should try and learn.

long at 222.25.
stop at b/e

Last edited by Monk; 03-06-2007 at 01:07 AM.
Reply With Quote
  #1515 (permalink)  
Old 03-06-2007, 01:06 AM
100 Post Club
 
Join Date: Jan 2007
Posts: 427
Andy K is on a distinguished road
Wow - good bounce
Stoppd out of my shorts - some BE, some small loss. I'm going to take a piece of that Jesse Livermore action and hit the hey

Good luck all
Reply With Quote
Reply

Thread Tools
Display Modes Rate This Thread
Rate This Thread:

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are On
Pingbacks are On
Refbacks are On
Forum Jump



All times are GMT +1. The time now is 02:43 AM.



Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to trade foreign exchange you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts.

Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. Forex Capital Markets LLC. will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation to, any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.

Advertencia sobre Riesgos
©2007 DailyFX. All Rights Reserved. FXCM.COM  |  Contact Us  |  Currency Converter  |  Risk Disclaimer & Privacy Policy



Copyright ©2005 Daily FX. All Rights Reserved.