Register Now    All Threads    The Rules    About Forum
DailyFX Calendar DailyFX Charts DailyFX News DailyFX Blogs DailyFX Forum
  #6466 (permalink)  
Old 11-28-2008, 09:24 PM
Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 28
Mageroi is an unknown quantity at this point
Send a message via Skype™ to Mageroi
Quote:
Originally Posted by cgjedi View Post
Everyone will have their own take on the counts and will have to go through the exercise themselves in order to truly understand. I'm just pointing out that there are other views that might give clearer insight.
My studies have proven to me that flexible and liberal interpretation of EWA coupled with precise Fibonacci proportions & extensions on Price much more accurate and practicable than all the Time studies of Gann, Delta, MM etc...

From practice & observation of others (including the newsletters from Copan) Delta or MM are pretty much based on loose, flexible timings.The theoretical assertiveness of Copan in his tapes is impressive but his newsletters are nourished with incertitudes....

I have yet to find a Timing study more precise than Price to trade with despite all the hype about Time. Time cycles dissapears at times......
Just my experience and choice I guess.
Reply With Quote
  #6467 (permalink)  
Old 11-28-2008, 11:26 PM
Registered User
 
Join Date: Oct 2008
Posts: 30
YOUNG GUNS is an unknown quantity at this point
Quote:
Originally Posted by Mageroi View Post
My studies have proven to me that flexible and liberal interpretation of EWA coupled with precise Fibonacci proportions & extensions on Price much more accurate and practicable than all the Time studies of Gann, Delta, MM etc...

From practice & observation of others (including the newsletters from Copan) Delta or MM are pretty much based on loose, flexible timings.The theoretical assertiveness of Copan in his tapes is impressive but his newsletters are nourished with incertitudes....

I have yet to find a Timing study more precise than Price to trade with despite all the hype about Time. Time cycles dissapears at times......
Just my experience and choice I guess.

I agree!

I have been using an Elliot count and Delta count for the past few weeks and I have gained 69% on my account.

Delta alone is vague to say the least. But combined with Elliot counts I have had no real surprises lately.

last month I only focused on the Delta count (ITD) and was doing well until the turnpoints started arriving very late or early. That encouraged me to start an Elliot count which has helped very much!

Below are the two main charts i have been using




Last edited by YOUNG GUNS; 11-29-2008 at 11:12 AM.
Reply With Quote
  #6468 (permalink)  
Old 11-29-2008, 11:49 AM
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2008
Posts: 33
Jewel is an unknown quantity at this point
GBP

Hi all

Here is the GBP daily chart with the count am following. Risk reward is favourable for short side with stop above 155.50. Looking for new low[IMG][/IMG]
Regards

Jewel
Reply With Quote
  #6469 (permalink)  
Old 11-30-2008, 06:07 AM
bertmaple's Avatar
100 Post Club
 
Join Date: Jan 2007
Posts: 53
bertmaple is on a distinguished road
2009 forecast

Jewel - looks good. I am definitely hoping for some kind of bottom signal near 1.3840 - 1.4000 range.

I got my image capture working and made this chart. hopefully it posts correctly.

My GBP/USD forecast

Looking for pair's bottom in the 1.4000 area - then a quick kickback to the broken trendline - co-incidentally, the 50% fibo line of recent cliff diving action.
Followed by another plunge towards the bottom - and back up again.

Ive drawn some hypothetical trendlines that would frame a new price channel.

Also- believe new low will show divergence on weekly RSI

All of this movement would still find the pair in range -

[IMG][/IMG]

Last edited by bertmaple; 11-30-2008 at 06:08 AM. Reason: typo
Reply With Quote
  #6470 (permalink)  
Old 11-30-2008, 11:02 PM
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 43
Forexgreenland has a little shameless behaviour in the past
Send a message via Yahoo to Forexgreenland Send a message via Skype™ to Forexgreenland
Quote:
Originally Posted by Learning_pips
Hi Stal,

Wanted to clarify a point out of the explaination that you gave a couple of days back about

the Reaction Swing and the Projected Reversal Date.
1.When you said about the centre of the cycle, wont we calculate a 60% buy window and be

long on the trade after the Reaction Swing ends and the current Bull run restarts.

2.For applying Mr.Crane's Reversal date projection technique of reverse and forward counts,

what is the most reliable time frame to do so. I mean I tried doing it in smaller time

frames but could not be very successful.

Thnks..your big fan..

Helloo Learning pips,
You know what your questions does to me? it challenges me...really, it does..like digging

down the well of yourself..believe me guys, these questions are NOT easy, though

simple..neither is understanding market behaviour or ''tells'' for consistent

profitability..
So we go back to our monthly charts on the GBPUSD..remember last time, we talked about a

reversal date of 4 to 8 months from now, for the cable..in which , price would have reached

a high probability turning point from its downtrend to (A) an uptrend reversal or (B), a

sideways consolidation or range in which the market is not ready to reverse but would

continue trading in the same direction as the current trend.So price on cable has a maximum of 9 months to show a reversal, according to the Reversal Date technique.



We shouldnt mix the concept of the Reaction Swing and Projected Reversal Date with the 60%

buy/sell windows. The R.S is mainly used for TIME PROJECTIONS while the 60% buy/sell windows

are more useful in the realm of PRICE PROJECTIONS.Now look at BC, the Reaction Swing where

we got the centre of the circle in which the past can project the future..though price would

have triggered our centre of the Reaction Swing @ 1.8300..it made a turnaround at the 60%

window..where the red arrow was.. Except you got very deep pockets to withstand a $1300 pip

downward move with leverage,you would've been stopped out..It was at the 2nd try, where the

blue arrow was, that price cleanly triggered the buy stop at the centre of the Reaction

Swing, and rocketed up..

Another difference is the R.S/R.D are mainly used in PRICE RETRACEMENTS, while the BUY/SELL

WINDOWS, are mainly used PRICE TRENDS..Always understand the difference, like understanding

your reality..''where Am I At In The Present Moment Of Now?'' Where Am I In The Greater

Scheme Of The Universe?Am I in a full trend or a retracement/correction?

2 Actually, you can apply those TIME PROJECTION TECHNIQUES on any timeframe, whether 5min,

15min, hourly, or weekly,etc.. The major challenge is counting those bars or candlesticks,

for the lower the timeframes, the more Reaction Swings inherent in them, and the more you do

your counts.. Since John Crane is from the futures/commodities world, most of his strategies

are different, yet similar to those in the forex world. His brilliant book, ADVANCED SWING

TRADING'', is very helpful for swing and position traders..



Quote:
Originally Posted by Mageroi View Post
My studies have proven to me that flexible and liberal interpretation

of EWA coupled with precise Fibonacci proportions & extensions on Price much more accurate

and practicable than all the Time studies of Gann, Delta, MM etc...

From practice & observation of others (including the newsletters from Copan) Delta or MM are

pretty much based on loose, flexible timings.The theoretical assertiveness of Copan in his

tapes is impressive but his newsletters are nourished with incertitudes....

I have yet to find a Timing study more precise than Price to trade with despite all the hype

about Time. Time cycles dissapears at times......
Just my experience and choice I guess.

Hmmm, Mageroi, you might be quite right there..though they still have their uses..Is Time

Projection a core strategy of Buffetology?






Quote:
Originally Posted by MB219TR View Post
Dear Madam and Dear Sir,
My name is Mahir I am a investor in Turkey, I would to ask you a question if you permit.
According to the exchange rates, the £ exchange rate to the $ was 1,99 at the common years,

now it decreases to 1,49.
According to the exchange rates, the £ exchange rate to the € was 1,55 at the common years,

now it decreases to 1,17.
As we have in our owner equity, our capital is almost all in British Pounds. According to

the long-term finance management we have a loss of about 900.000 Dollar’s because of the

exchange course.
My question is what do you advice me to do. Should I change to Euro or will the Pound be

stable and will gain its unique power again.
I hope you are not suprised about this mail because there to many speculations and I really

do not now how to act thats why I need help for an advice from you.
I thank you in forward and hope for your reply.
Yours Sincerly,
MAHIR - MB219TR@YAHOO.COM
Well, Mahir,
just dont overlook GOLD as an alternative asset class, that traders run to during periods of

market uncertainity.

OPEC ends Cairo meeting without new output cuts - Yahoo! News



Quote:
Originally Posted by danew13 View Post
trying to max my dollar exchange to gbp...i can wait...is it worth it?

some predict gbp will tank at 1.40 dol. opinion?
Even lower, danew...Price on the cable have up to 9 months to prove it.

NOW,SUNDAY,our previous order is still on,.we put a sell stop on GBPUSD @ 1.5300..1st target

@ 1.5260...2nd target @ 1.5175..3rd target @ 1.5090..sl @ 50 pips away from entry..

[10:32:33 26/11/08] Stalion : we also put a buy stop on gu @ 1.5540...1st target @

1.5580..2nd target @ 1.5615

[10:33:04 26/11/08] Stalion : sl @ 40 pips away..

If you care to observe, both buy and sell stops are at the extreme end of the Thanksgiving

week range..so we call this THE MONTHOBAMA TECHNIQUE

Reply With Quote
  #6471 (permalink)  
Old 12-01-2008, 11:32 AM
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2008
Posts: 33
Jewel is an unknown quantity at this point
GBP update

Hi all

GBP fall as expected. waiting for another daily candle to confirm


regards

Jewel


Reply With Quote
  #6472 (permalink)  
Old 12-01-2008, 06:50 PM
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2008
Posts: 30
fasi26 is an unknown quantity at this point
now wht wuld be the rebound of GBP/USD..............( i m holding the position sell 153.5 to going on.
Reply With Quote
  #6473 (permalink)  
Old 12-01-2008, 11:23 PM
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 43
Forexgreenland has a little shameless behaviour in the past
Send a message via Yahoo to Forexgreenland Send a message via Skype™ to Forexgreenland
The MONTHOBAMA TECHNIQUE

Quote:
Originally Posted by mfoste1 View Post
I need some advice from some seasoned forex traders...I am a college

student studying finance and I am fairly new to forex trading but i have frequently day

traded some stocks. I opened up a fxcm account 3 days ago funded with $5,000. Today was the

first day that I traded it for about 3 hours. At the end of the 3 hrs I made a profit of

$1,042.25. It doesn't seem like I'm executing my trades very well though, so I'm wondering

if this is just luck or something like that. Is significant profit a sign of good

trading?

Hi mfostel,
Its quite encouraging of you to admit you've not been executing your trades very

well..Though some might say its just 'luck to catch a drop', it all depends on you, at the

end of the day..
Significant profits is just a MEASURE of good trading....You still have to create structures

based on your trading plan , in order to know where, when and how you went right or wrong in

your trading activities..
These structures includes your trading strategy, risk management and trader psychology..like

how do you reconcile an 80% gross profit with a 50 % relative drawdown?
How exposed are your trades for that session , in relation to your total equity? How do you

know when you are on a losing streak and how does that affect your successive trading

activities? Those, and more questions you ask yourself, would surely help in making you the

seasoned trader that you are meant to be.




[08:13:41 01/12/08] agba : Hi Stal

[08:14:34 01/12/08] agba : Is the sell stop at 1.5300 still valid, it has been stopped out

once today?

[10:37:35 01/12/08] Stalion : helloo everyone

[10:37:57 01/12/08] Stalion : yes, agba....it is...if stopped out, you reenter..

[10:38:05 01/12/08] Maximus : Heu Stalion...

[10:39:41 01/12/08] Stalion : 1st and 2nd target already hit for 125 pips..going for 3rd

target



[10:39:56 01/12/08] Stalion : helloo there, max..

[10:40:03 01/12/08] Stalion : howz ur trading going?

[10:40:39 01/12/08] Maximus : very good i am out at 1.5175, thx...

[10:41:36 01/12/08] agba : DId not reentered waited fr ur response


[10:43:49 01/12/08] Stalion : Here, we tend to nurture traders to become independent after

time..once you get the thick of it, you tend to trade better yourself...in this case, am

sorry you didnt reenter..

[10:43:58 01/12/08] agba : Can I enter now?

[10:44:41 01/12/08] Stalion : not sure...it depends on the risk to reward ratio

[10:45:18 01/12/08] Stalion : our 3rd target is 1.5090..

[10:46:08 01/12/08] Stalion : u can still enter now, with a 50 pip sl..agba...

[10:46:10 01/12/08] agba : I will wait till us session

[10:47:29 01/12/08] agba : ok thanks

[10:47:43 01/12/08] Stalion : though the reward would be approximately the same, at current

market price

[10:48:12 01/12/08] Stalion : but the risk would be double since you got stopped out earlier

[10:48:44 01/12/08] agba : I entered @1.5128

[10:50:21 01/12/08] Stalion : no probs...time will tell..

[10:52:04 01/12/08] Stalion: remember, put a 15 or 20 pip trailing stop on price when you

are +20 pips ahead

[10:52:21 01/12/08] agba : ok

[11:15:57 01/12/08] agba : Thks Stal. Got 38pips

[11:41:17 01/12/08] Stalion : lol!



[11:42:24 01/12/08] Stalion : price on cable have gone way beyond our 3rd target of

1.5090...for more than 210 pips,$210 minilot,$2100 standard lot

[12:08:50 01/12/08] Stalion : even after subtracting the 50 pip stop loss earlier in the

morning, we are still ahead

[13:33:36 01/12/08] djcarlos : I missed that exelent trade .... Sad

[13:34:07 01/12/08] Stalion : why? it has been out in the open for more than 24 hrs

[13:34:23 01/12/08] djcarlos : I stal.... this falll is going to have retracement???

[18:30:17 01/12/08] djcarlos : Hi, im looking CNN and US it was declared recently in

recetion

[18:30:45 01/12/08] Stalion : recession?

[18:31:37 01/12/08] djcarlos : sorry... yes recession in US... CNN said that is officialy

[18:35:07 01/12/08] djcarlos : about 20 minutes was declarated ... but they sais that the

recesssion start in december 2007

[19:10:07 01/12/08] Stalion : from a sell entry of 1.5300 to a low of 1.4805

[19:10:15 01/12/08] Stalion : almost 500 pips

[19:13:12 01/12/08] djcarlos : yes.... and I missed it.... I want to die .... I looked the

chat at 5:00 am... and the fall start at 6:00 am...

[19:15:52 01/12/08] djcarlos : but now i hope a good retracement



Dow drops nearly 680 on consumer spending worries - Yahoo! News



Quote:
Originally Posted by fasi26 View Post
now wht wuld be the rebound of GBP/USD..............( i m holding the

position sell 153.5 to going on.
If there's going to be a rebound or retracement, fasi, I think its better we put a buy stop

on cable @ 1.4900, 1st target @ 1.4935..2nd target @ 1.4985..3rd target @ 1.5135...with a

stop loss @ 1.4805...Please check your risk to reward ratio before taking any trades.

Last edited by Forexgreenland; 12-02-2008 at 12:06 AM.
Reply With Quote
  #6474 (permalink)  
Old 12-02-2008, 11:25 AM
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2008
Posts: 317
Panda Eyes is an unknown quantity at this point
Question

Quote:
Originally Posted by Jewel View Post
Hi all

GBP fall as expected. waiting for another daily candle to confirm


regards

Jewel


any input on view today for study & analysis...tks
Reply With Quote
  #6475 (permalink)  
Old 12-02-2008, 12:43 PM
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2008
Posts: 30
fasi26 is an unknown quantity at this point
If there's going to be a rebound or retracement, fasi, I think its better we put a buy stop

on cable @ 1.4900, 1st target @ 1.4935..2nd target @ 1.4985..3rd target @ 1.5135...with a

stop loss @ 1.4805...Please check your risk to reward ratio before taking any trades.[/quote]

thnx buddy i got the 1st target and the all credit goes to you. can we hav a chat on some other source????????
Reply With Quote
  #6476 (permalink)  
Old 12-02-2008, 01:34 PM
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2008
Posts: 30
fasi26 is an unknown quantity at this point
will rebound touches the 152??????
Reply With Quote
  #6477 (permalink)  
Old 12-02-2008, 02:03 PM
Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2005
Posts: 340
4xis2ez is on a distinguished road
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ilovepippin View Post
What happened with the Delta analysis over here?
I miss the Delta charts. Please post.
Here's intraday cycles.
Next low, the #7 low due about 10am NY time for a move to the 8 high due about 11:45. This is for gbpusd.
Attached Images
 
Reply With Quote
  #6478 (permalink)  
Old 12-02-2008, 04:30 PM
100 Post Club
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 141
Million$Man is on a distinguished road
Quote:
Originally Posted by 4xis2ez View Post
Here's intraday cycles.
Next low, the #7 low due about 10am NY time for a move to the 8 high due about 11:45. This is for gbpusd.
4X
these are different you posted a while ago...
i have #7 as a high due around 14.30 GMT
just clarify we are on week1, on the 28 cycle?
M$M
Reply With Quote
  #6479 (permalink)  
Old 12-03-2008, 10:53 AM
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2008
Posts: 33
Jewel is an unknown quantity at this point
GBP update

am extremely bearish . looking for new low. Please correct me if am wrong with the count. ( New to EW)

regards

Jewel

[IMG][/IMG]
Reply With Quote
  #6480 (permalink)  
Old 12-04-2008, 10:19 AM
Registered User
 
Join Date: Oct 2008
Posts: 2
MB219TR is an unknown quantity at this point
Send a message via Yahoo to MB219TR
Dear Madam and Dear Sir,
I would to ask you a question,According to the exchange rates:
what would be the exchange rate £/$ short - term (1month) = ?
what would be the exchange rate £/$ midle - term (6month) = ?
what would be the exchange rate £/$ long - term (12month) = ?
and
what would be the exchange rate £/€ short - term (1month) = ?
what would be the exchange rate £/€ midle - term (6month) = ?
what would be the exchange rate £/€ long - term (12month) = ?
what is your advice might be.
Yours Sincerly,
MAHIR - MB219TR@YAHOO.COM
Reply With Quote
Reply

Thread Tools
Display Modes Rate This Thread
Rate This Thread:

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are On
Pingbacks are On
Refbacks are On
Forum Jump



All times are GMT +1. The time now is 12:20 AM.



Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to trade foreign exchange you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts.

Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. Forex Capital Markets LLC. will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation to, any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.

Advertencia sobre Riesgos
©2007 DailyFX. All Rights Reserved. FXCM.COM  |  Contact Us  |  Currency Converter  |  Risk Disclaimer & Privacy Policy



Copyright ©2005 Daily FX. All Rights Reserved.