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From practice & observation of others (including the newsletters from Copan) Delta or MM are pretty much based on loose, flexible timings.The theoretical assertiveness of Copan in his tapes is impressive but his newsletters are nourished with incertitudes.... I have yet to find a Timing study more precise than Price to trade with despite all the hype about Time. Time cycles dissapears at times...... Just my experience and choice I guess. |
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I agree! I have been using an Elliot count and Delta count for the past few weeks and I have gained 69% on my account. Delta alone is vague to say the least. But combined with Elliot counts I have had no real surprises lately. last month I only focused on the Delta count (ITD) and was doing well until the turnpoints started arriving very late or early. That encouraged me to start an Elliot count which has helped very much! Below are the two main charts i have been using ![]()
Last edited by YOUNG GUNS; 11-29-2008 at 11:12 AM. |
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Helloo Learning pips, You know what your questions does to me? it challenges me...really, it does..like digging down the well of yourself..believe me guys, these questions are NOT easy, though simple..neither is understanding market behaviour or ''tells'' for consistent profitability.. So we go back to our monthly charts on the GBPUSD..remember last time, we talked about a reversal date of 4 to 8 months from now, for the cable..in which , price would have reached a high probability turning point from its downtrend to (A) an uptrend reversal or (B), a sideways consolidation or range in which the market is not ready to reverse but would continue trading in the same direction as the current trend.So price on cable has a maximum of 9 months to show a reversal, according to the Reversal Date technique. ![]() We shouldnt mix the concept of the Reaction Swing and Projected Reversal Date with the 60% buy/sell windows. The R.S is mainly used for TIME PROJECTIONS while the 60% buy/sell windows are more useful in the realm of PRICE PROJECTIONS.Now look at BC, the Reaction Swing where we got the centre of the circle in which the past can project the future..though price would have triggered our centre of the Reaction Swing @ 1.8300..it made a turnaround at the 60% window..where the red arrow was.. Except you got very deep pockets to withstand a $1300 pip downward move with leverage,you would've been stopped out..It was at the 2nd try, where the blue arrow was, that price cleanly triggered the buy stop at the centre of the Reaction Swing, and rocketed up.. Another difference is the R.S/R.D are mainly used in PRICE RETRACEMENTS, while the BUY/SELL WINDOWS, are mainly used PRICE TRENDS..Always understand the difference, like understanding your reality..''where Am I At In The Present Moment Of Now?'' Where Am I In The Greater Scheme Of The Universe?Am I in a full trend or a retracement/correction? 2 Actually, you can apply those TIME PROJECTION TECHNIQUES on any timeframe, whether 5min, 15min, hourly, or weekly,etc.. The major challenge is counting those bars or candlesticks, for the lower the timeframes, the more Reaction Swings inherent in them, and the more you do your counts.. Since John Crane is from the futures/commodities world, most of his strategies are different, yet similar to those in the forex world. His brilliant book, ADVANCED SWING TRADING'', is very helpful for swing and position traders.. Quote:
Hmmm, Mageroi, you might be quite right there..though they still have their uses..Is Time Projection a core strategy of Buffetology? Quote:
just dont overlook GOLD as an alternative asset class, that traders run to during periods of market uncertainity. OPEC ends Cairo meeting without new output cuts - Yahoo! News Quote:
NOW,SUNDAY,our previous order is still on,.we put a sell stop on GBPUSD @ 1.5300..1st target @ 1.5260...2nd target @ 1.5175..3rd target @ 1.5090..sl @ 50 pips away from entry.. [10:32:33 26/11/08] Stalion : we also put a buy stop on gu @ 1.5540...1st target @ 1.5580..2nd target @ 1.5615 [10:33:04 26/11/08] Stalion : sl @ 40 pips away.. If you care to observe, both buy and sell stops are at the extreme end of the Thanksgiving week range..so we call this THE MONTHOBAMA TECHNIQUE
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The MONTHOBAMA TECHNIQUE
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Hi mfostel, Its quite encouraging of you to admit you've not been executing your trades very well..Though some might say its just 'luck to catch a drop', it all depends on you, at the end of the day.. Significant profits is just a MEASURE of good trading....You still have to create structures based on your trading plan , in order to know where, when and how you went right or wrong in your trading activities.. These structures includes your trading strategy, risk management and trader psychology..like how do you reconcile an 80% gross profit with a 50 % relative drawdown? How exposed are your trades for that session , in relation to your total equity? How do you know when you are on a losing streak and how does that affect your successive trading activities? Those, and more questions you ask yourself, would surely help in making you the seasoned trader that you are meant to be. [08:13:41 01/12/08] agba : Hi Stal [08:14:34 01/12/08] agba : Is the sell stop at 1.5300 still valid, it has been stopped out once today? [10:37:35 01/12/08] Stalion : helloo everyone [10:37:57 01/12/08] Stalion : yes, agba....it is...if stopped out, you reenter.. [10:38:05 01/12/08] Maximus : Heu Stalion... [10:39:41 01/12/08] Stalion : 1st and 2nd target already hit for 125 pips..going for 3rd target ![]() [10:39:56 01/12/08] Stalion : helloo there, max.. [10:40:03 01/12/08] Stalion : howz ur trading going? [10:40:39 01/12/08] Maximus : very good i am out at 1.5175, thx... [10:41:36 01/12/08] agba : DId not reentered waited fr ur response [10:43:49 01/12/08] Stalion : Here, we tend to nurture traders to become independent after time..once you get the thick of it, you tend to trade better yourself...in this case, am sorry you didnt reenter.. [10:43:58 01/12/08] agba : Can I enter now? [10:44:41 01/12/08] Stalion : not sure...it depends on the risk to reward ratio [10:45:18 01/12/08] Stalion : our 3rd target is 1.5090.. [10:46:08 01/12/08] Stalion : u can still enter now, with a 50 pip sl..agba... [10:46:10 01/12/08] agba : I will wait till us session [10:47:29 01/12/08] agba : ok thanks [10:47:43 01/12/08] Stalion : though the reward would be approximately the same, at current market price [10:48:12 01/12/08] Stalion : but the risk would be double since you got stopped out earlier [10:48:44 01/12/08] agba : I entered @1.5128 [10:50:21 01/12/08] Stalion : no probs...time will tell.. [10:52:04 01/12/08] Stalion: remember, put a 15 or 20 pip trailing stop on price when you are +20 pips ahead [10:52:21 01/12/08] agba : ok [11:15:57 01/12/08] agba : Thks Stal. Got 38pips [11:41:17 01/12/08] Stalion : lol! ![]() [11:42:24 01/12/08] Stalion : price on cable have gone way beyond our 3rd target of 1.5090...for more than 210 pips,$210 minilot,$2100 standard lot [12:08:50 01/12/08] Stalion : even after subtracting the 50 pip stop loss earlier in the morning, we are still ahead [13:33:36 01/12/08] djcarlos : I missed that exelent trade .... Sad [13:34:07 01/12/08] Stalion : why? it has been out in the open for more than 24 hrs [13:34:23 01/12/08] djcarlos : I stal.... this falll is going to have retracement??? [18:30:17 01/12/08] djcarlos : Hi, im looking CNN and US it was declared recently in recetion [18:30:45 01/12/08] Stalion : recession? [18:31:37 01/12/08] djcarlos : sorry... yes recession in US... CNN said that is officialy [18:35:07 01/12/08] djcarlos : about 20 minutes was declarated ... but they sais that the recesssion start in december 2007 [19:10:07 01/12/08] Stalion : from a sell entry of 1.5300 to a low of 1.4805 [19:10:15 01/12/08] Stalion : almost 500 pips [19:13:12 01/12/08] djcarlos : yes.... and I missed it.... I want to die .... I looked the chat at 5:00 am... and the fall start at 6:00 am... [19:15:52 01/12/08] djcarlos : but now i hope a good retracement Dow drops nearly 680 on consumer spending worries - Yahoo! News Quote:
on cable @ 1.4900, 1st target @ 1.4935..2nd target @ 1.4985..3rd target @ 1.5135...with a stop loss @ 1.4805...Please check your risk to reward ratio before taking any trades. Last edited by Forexgreenland; 12-02-2008 at 12:06 AM. |
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If there's going to be a rebound or retracement, fasi, I think its better we put a buy stop
on cable @ 1.4900, 1st target @ 1.4935..2nd target @ 1.4985..3rd target @ 1.5135...with a stop loss @ 1.4805...Please check your risk to reward ratio before taking any trades.[/quote] thnx buddy i got the 1st target and the all credit goes to you. can we hav a chat on some other source???????? |
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Next low, the #7 low due about 10am NY time for a move to the 8 high due about 11:45. This is for gbpusd. |
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these are different you posted a while ago... i have #7 as a high due around 14.30 GMT just clarify we are on week1, on the 28 cycle? M$M |
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Dear Madam and Dear Sir,
I would to ask you a question,According to the exchange rates: what would be the exchange rate £/$ short - term (1month) = ? what would be the exchange rate £/$ midle - term (6month) = ? what would be the exchange rate £/$ long - term (12month) = ? and what would be the exchange rate £/€ short - term (1month) = ? what would be the exchange rate £/€ midle - term (6month) = ? what would be the exchange rate £/€ long - term (12month) = ? what is your advice might be. Yours Sincerly, MAHIR - MB219TR@YAHOO.COM |
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