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I'm still on the contrarian side.
Despite the low headline GDP the inflation element is still higher, The Fed still have their hands tied and can't yet talk about lowering rates. Cable currently holding around the .618 fib from the 2.0132 high to this mornings 1.9864 low, and I'm still looking at that divergence on the weekly chart, this weeks candle is going to give us a hanging man. Also Swissy still respecting that TL. Will hold short but have put stop at 2.0067 above the stall level earlier in the week. Anybody else long or short ?
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John G Last edited by JohnG_FX; 07-17-2008 at 11:48 AM. |
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Stalling growth and firming inflation........ Not the best environment for a currency ;-)
View as b4, looking to go long. Nothing on at current lvls, as we are just shy of falling resist joing the tops on the hrly. Watching for a fib retracement of today's upmove, or a break above 060ish to get on board. |
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That's me done for the week folks.
Happy with the day, got half the upmove and now holding cable shorts from 9996. GBPCHF long from 2.4067 also shaping up Ok. GBPJPY shorts not pretty right now but happy to hold for the inevitable correction, ditto my Dow shorts. If the dollar can't dive anymore after all the bad data we have had this week then there is only one place left to go, and that's up. IMO Have a good weekend everyone
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John G |
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G'day all....
Nice return on those shorts.... My perspective is still from the long side. Have taken a couple from the 0.618 fib mentioned friday but haven't held them for much... Too much congestion of my MA, and indicators. But looking for a base area from here down to 1.9900 area. Break of thast trend line, and will start thinking of bigger fib corrections of the move off the 1.96 low |
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Morning JD
Yup shorts turned out Ok, Have just covered and reversed long @ 9922 tight stop @ 9898 Waiting to see if we get a reaction on the Mortgage data out at 08.30gmt. I'm still not sure if we are going to press higher or down below 9860, just going with the ST charts atm, although the weekly chart still looking very bearish. Still long on GBPCHF and short on GBPJPY Edit : it it takes the stop and heads down then will just let the 9880 put run
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John G Last edited by JohnG_FX; 04-30-2007 at 10:38 AM. |
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Nice trade away from the supp line. And now a 0.382 retracement move in place.
0.382s tend to have great extension tgts, right up to the 4.236 extn(shown as black lines on the chart). Just need to clear through the pivot, and previous highs at the 61 lvl, and it should be an easy ride. ;-) |
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