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The COT is posted at http://www.dailyfx.com/story/chartin...198984988.html
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EURUSD might have some downside in the short term
FXCM SSI
EURUSD 1.38157 -2.29 30% Bullish GBPUSD 2.05822 -1.94 34% Bullish USDJPY 121.350 1.78 64% Bearish USDCHF 1.20550 2.85 74% Bearish USDCAD 1.04442 4.12 80% Bearish The ratio of long to short positions in the EURUSD stands at -2.29 as nearly 70% of traders are short. Yesterday, the ratio was at -2.95 as 75% of open positions were short. In detail, long positions are 26.7% higher than yesterday and 7.4% stronger since last week. Short positions are 1.8% lower than yesterday and 3.4% weaker since last week. Open interest is 5.4% stronger than yesterday and 6.9% above its monthly average. The SSI is a contrarian indicator and signals more EURUSD gains. When retail is short but reduces its exposure, the long term direction remains bullish but the market might have some downside in the short term. The SSI gives us a MEDIUM SIGNAL TO SELL EURUSD. |
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Since you wrote that, have you decided to only outline one pair instead of all pair's from now on? |
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SSI graphics
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How can I obtain graphics of SSI for the next currency pairs?: eurusd, gbpusd, usdchf, usdjpy, usdcad, nzdusd, audusd, eurjpy, gbpjpy, audjpy, cadjpy, nzdjpy It is importatn to have them intraday |
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I notice CAD and CHF have frequently touch 80% of traders long (currently). JPY has touched 70% of traders are long. Does anyone know if GBP or EUR traders have touched 80% either long or short? If so, approximately how many times during 2007? I am trying to establish a historical precedent of how many times during this year 80% was reached either long or short for GBP and EUR. Lastly, it appears USD/CAD has topped +/- 50 pips.
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Paydebts |
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Thanks David
What about USD/JPY ? Has this pair reached 80%? It appears that price action follows your sentiment indicators. A good example is the sell USD/CAD call which was pre-mature, but the Sell EUR/USD call was right on the money +/- a day. Have you found this (price action follows SSI) to be true? So far we have two pairs touching +80% (CAD & CHF) regularly. We need to get USD/JPY @ around 80% to have critical mass. |
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LinkBacks (?)
LinkBack to this Thread: http://www.learncurrencytrading.com/fxforum/trader-sentiment-positioning/13877-trader-sentiment-positioning.html
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| Posted By | For | Type | Date | |
| COT Data Supports USD Bears | Post #0 | Refback | 07-19-2008 01:11 PM | |
| Yen Likely to Weaken According to COT | Post #0 | Refback | 07-19-2008 04:21 AM | |
| Euro SSI Extreme Eases After The Currency Fails To Take 1.60 | This thread | Refback | 07-19-2008 12:01 AM | |
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